Gunnar Heinsohn (DE) is a sociologist and economist, who re-thinks the history and theory of civilization. Gunnar Heinsohn: Siegfried found – decoding the Nibelungen period; Slavic chronological enigmas solved – Poland’s Krakow in the 1st Millennium AD; Arthur of. Gunnar Heinsohn (born in Gdynia/Poland, emeritus professor at Universität Bremen (University of Bremen/Germany) has studied sociology, history.
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While the European populations are shrinking and the best-qualified young people are leaving, we continue to allow mass immigration of unqualified Muslims, who will soon make our welfare states collapse. Add to this the fact that the Muslim world has built up a “youth bulge”, which according to experience will lead to mass murder and whose effects cannot be offset by foreign aid. The originator gubnar these bleak predictions is the German sociologist Gunnar Heinsohn, who believes that the game is over for Europe.
If the leaders of the American-led “Coalition of the Willing” had known Gunnar Heinsohn’s research, they would most likely never have left their troops in Iraq or Afghanistan.
They would quickly give up any thought of intervention in Sudan’s Darfur province. They would tell the Palestinian children families that the West will no longer pay for their unrestricted childbirths. Western opinion-makers and politicians would also abandon their pet theory that virtually any act of violence in a belt from Northern Africa to the Philippines — in addition to miscellaneous acts of terror all over the world — are caused by the unsolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
And worst of all seen from the prevailing political consensus in the West: Heinsohn does not believe for a second that economic aid and hunger relief in countries with large youth populations ginnar prevent wars, social unrest, terror or killings.
On the contrary he is convinced that in some cases material aid may start the killings. This is because starving people do not fight, they just suffer. However, if you give a lot of young men enough to eat and a certain education in a society where there are too many young men so that not all can get the recognition and positions that they feel entitled to, it may lead to violence.
Terror in the Rise and Fall of Nations], published in The book became widely known and discussed after the prominent German philosopher Peter Sloterdijk had characterised it as being as groundbreaking as Karl Marx’s Das Kapital. Sloterdijk thought that the book might pave the way for a new realism within a field that might be labelled “Demographic Materialism”. Heinsohn is not concerned with the absolute size of populations, but rather with the share of teenagers and young men. If this share becomes too big compared to the total population, we are facing a youth bulge.
The problem starts when families begin to produce three, four or more sons. This will cause the sons to fight over access to the positions in society that give power and prestige. Then you will have a lot of boys and young men running around filled with aggression and uncontrollable hormones. And then we shall experience mass killings, until a sufficient number of young men have been eradicated to match society’s ability to provide positions for the survivors.
According to Heinsohn, 80 per cent of world history is about young men in nations with a surplus of sons, creating trouble. Occasionally, the young commit genocide to secure for themselves the positions that belonged to those they killed. Finally, there is war to conquer new territory, killing the enemy population and replacing it with one’s own. But, as Heinsohn emphasizes again and again, the unrest and the violent acts caused by youth bulges have nothing to do with famine or unemployment.
In his book he describes it as follows: A younger brother, who may be employed as a stable hand by the first-born son and who may be well fed and perhaps even fat, does not seek food but position, one that can guarantee him recognition, influence and dignity. In recent years the West has been facing a gigantic youth bulge in large parts of the Muslim world. This bulge is created by a Muslim population explosion.
Over the course of just five generations the population in the Muslim countries has grown from million to 1 million — an increase of per cent.
Gunnar Heinsohn — V2_Lab for the Unstable Media
As a comparison the population of China has grown from million to 1 million per cent. The population of India has risen from million to million per cent. Sappho has visited Gunnar Heinsohn at his office at the University of Bremen, which awarded him a life-long professorship in The Frenchman who first used the term in said that a youth bulge existed when 30 per cent of the men in a population were between 20 to I changed it to 30 per cent between 15 and This means that if you take males from a country, then 30 of them will be between 15 and To be dangerous they must be in good physical and mental shape.
Heinsohn emphasises that there are lots of wars and killings in history that do nor emanate from youth bulges. The Hitler movement and the Mussolini movement in the s can be explained as youth bulge phenomena. The early Nazis and Fascists had an average age a bit below The Bolshevik movement in the period around the Revolution can be described in the same way.
So Hitler’s attack in was not a youth bulge phenomenon. Neither was the Holocaust. The killing of the Jews was not caused by young German men wanting to take their positions, even though there are theories that make this claim.
Nor do the killings organised by the later Marxist-Leninist regimes — that may have killed million people — have anything to do with youth bulges.
The Bolshevik revolution in was driven by millions and millions of farmers’ sons without land — that was a youth bulge event. Stalin’s Gulag, however, does not fall into this category. If we win the struggle against hunger, we have defeated war. On the contrary —youth bulge research shows that if you are successful in eliminating immediate material poverty and hunger in a country with a youth bulge, violence starts to escalate.
This is absolutely wrong.
If the Germans after had reproduced as they did between andthen we would have had a German nation of almost million citizens, and we would have had about 80 million German men between 15 and In reality we have 7 million.
And we may well ask ourselves whether these 80 million would have been as peaceful as the present 7 million, or would have been detonating bombs in Breslau or Danzig. It has a very simple definition: Take all the men aged and compare them to the boys aged Demographic capitulation is when you have males aged compared to less than 80 boys aged I have compared some numbers for you, and these show that Denmark is on the verge of Demographic Capitulation.
Heinsohn’s statistical overview shows that if Denmark had reproduced at the same rate as the Gaza Strip from to 1. In that case the median age of Danish males would have been 15 in reality it is 39and there would have been 3. Median age must not be confused with average age. A median age of 15 means that there are as many people below 15 as there are above 15, ed. Whereas such countries as Germany and Japan have capitulated demographically, other countries are characterized by “Demographic Armament”.
It is no coincidence that they are marked by widespread and extreme acts of violence and will be for several more years into the future. This also holds true for Gaza and the Palestinians in general. The error was that nobody took any notice of the Palestinian population explosion. The Palestinian population has multiplied almost 6 times within the last 50 years. We should have done two things: Israel should have stopped its settlements, and the world community should have said to the Palestinians: Every child in Palestine will be fed by the world community as before, because by accepting that every Palestinian child is a refugee, the world community has a responsibility for the number of children born.
But from January 1st you will have to pay for your newborn children, just as a woman does in Lebanon, in Tunisia and in Algeria. That is what they should have told the Palestinians. Why am I mentioning these three countries?
Because in those societies a women has fewer than two children on the average. Had we done that 15 years ago, we would have seen a generation of young Palestinian men with few reasons to commit violence against each other or against the Jews.
But we did not, and therefore I do not believe in the peace process, even if Hamas should decide to sign everything. Their young men will tear such agreements to pieces. Heinsohn points out that it is the USA and the EU, and particularly the Scandinavian countries, that pay for the enormous Palestinian child production. We must cease this support, so that the Palestinians pay for the children they bring into the world after a certain point in time.
They never had any chance of developing because they have always been on international support. If we look at current examples of countries with increasing violence — Pakistan and Bangladesh — we can see that both have managed a steady increase in the average income per capita — and even a significant growth. Thus we have created the primary conditions for making the young men both well fed and well educated, which leads to them becoming unruly. If these young men successfully destroy the country’s infrastructure, it will result in poverty.
Here they have had a system of seven children for every woman, at the same time as the average income has increased.
When the killings started, the average income fell. Is it not necessary to add religion to the explanation? Our explanation is usually that there was a pressure on resources because of overpopulation. The opposite was the case.
Spain was not overpopulated. There was, however, a sudden a growth in childbirths because in Tunnar Innocent VIII had decreed that birth control was punishable by death, which caused an immediate explosion in births. In the middle ages the average number of children per family was ; now it was suddenly That caused the median age in the population of six million to be 15, whereas the nine-million population of had had a median age between 28 and So there was no lack of land or food.
However, there was a sudden scarcity of positions. Previously there had been one or two boys in the family. One heinsonh take over the farm and the other might become a tenant somewhere else. Now you had three sons who had food but no positions, and these boys started the conquests and the colonising. It was quite telling that the Spaniards called then secundones, the second sons. These young men — 95 per cent of them — were normal, good boys and saw it as a sin to kill or mistreat the conquered populations in the colonies.
They knew the difference between themselves and psychopaths or common murderers.